Who's betting on “Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?”?
Smart money leans No: 38% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $829 by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 1% 18 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 38% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 78¢ and No at 23¢, a 78% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 21, 2026.
The smart money
1% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $829 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is deuxgaules, with $565 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 237 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is GuyFromTinder, with $45 on it, $89K lifetime loss over 22,344 markets (37% won).
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $535
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $294
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$535 on it
- 1deuxgaules80% won of 237$565−$2.1K lifetime
- 2Johnny-Worker54% won of 508$29−$3.1K lifetime
- 3asitiet36% won of 240$23−$1.5K lifetime
- 4pppnn34% won of 8,140$6−$79K lifetime
- 5opuss55arg76% won of 21$4−$8 lifetime
No$294 on it
- 1GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$45−$89K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 124,068 · noise$22+$257K lifetime
- 3V4grant37% won of 788$19−$493 lifetime
- 4AmazingEsam63% won of 222$17−$1.8K lifetime
- 50x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-179089646900939% won of 28$16−$276 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
6 more- September 30$41K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: No
- September 24$40K vol.Yes 81%No 19%Smart money: No
- September 28$38K vol.Yes 75%No 26%Smart money: No
- September 27$12K vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money: Yes
- September 23$11K vol.Yes 86%No 14%Smart money: No
- September 20$21K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $829 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is deuxgaules, with $565 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 237 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is GuyFromTinder, with $45 on it, $89K lifetime loss over 22,344 markets (37% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 78¢ and No at 23¢, a 78% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 21, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
1% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 21, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.