Who's betting on “Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $43K traded all time
- Held now
- $24K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 35 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $43K has been traded on it.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them.
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $12
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $24K
- Holders' win rate
- 91%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Russia military action against EU country by...?
2 more- December 31, 2026$250K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- December 31, 2027$12K vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $43K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $43K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.