Who's betting on “Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.4K by 45 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
45 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xd0F86659dc92DC80302aCE04fbf4E93d74696b50-1757755172744, with $102 on it, $3.7K lifetime profit over 127 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is 0xb217f700a4df0783067a5b725281E157184A9799-1761068571781, with $3.5K on it, $386 lifetime profit over 14 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $189
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 92%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$189 on it
- 10xd0F86659dc92DC80302aCE04fbf4E93d74696b50-175775517274469% won of 127 · balanced$102+$3.7K lifetime
- 2GARY2HOU100% won of 2$32−$78 lifetime
- 3Oklmntrader13% won of 621$12−$173K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL28% won of 20,076$12−$496K lifetime
- 5PolyJaguar93% won of 254 · whale$5+$6.0K lifetime
No$4.2K on it
- 10xb217f700a4df0783067a5b725281E157184A9799-1761068571781100% won of 14$3.5K+$386 lifetime
- 2alpheclabs50% won of 16,268$218−$987K lifetime
- 3nancydr3w50% won of 60$199−$99 lifetime
- 4DeverNoom69% won of 308 · balanced$146+$6.3K lifetime
- 5niubeee46% won of 774$100−$4.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$941K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$598K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Too little scored money to compare
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$533K vol.Yes 53%No 48%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$529K vol.Yes 59%No 42%Smart money: Yes
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$503K vol.Yes 32%No 69%Smart money split
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?$447K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money split
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$361K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?"?
45 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xd0F86659dc92DC80302aCE04fbf4E93d74696b50-1757755172744, with $102 on it, $3.7K lifetime profit over 127 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is 0xb217f700a4df0783067a5b725281E157184A9799-1761068571781, with $3.5K on it, $386 lifetime profit over 14 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.