Who's betting on “Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.8K by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 58% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 72% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 53¢ and No at 47¢, a 53% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 16, 2027.
The smart money
58% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is knrad, with $458 on it, $40K lifetime profit over 1,120 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is iHaveBeenPwned, with $264 on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 5 markets (80% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $42 on No.
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $960
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $852
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 1 · $42
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$960 on it
- 1knrad62% won of 1,120 · whale$458+$40K lifetime
- 2AbsoluteDestroyer22% won of 239$159−$7.9K lifetime
- 3Unfricapore90% won of 20$72−$4.3K lifetime
- 4CT-test52% won of 213 · balanced$44+$23 lifetime
- 5hekreates86% won of 7$44+$104 lifetime
No$852 on it
- 1iHaveBeenPwned80% won of 5$264+$2.3K lifetime
- 2adenakoz130% won of 231 · noise$235+$11K lifetime
- 3marietayaya0% won of 1$141−$21 lifetime
- 4TheOne77793% won of 381 · sniper$42+$16K lifetime
- 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$29−$287K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
2 more- December 31, 2026$518K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- January 31, 2027$14K vol.Yes 62%No 38%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is knrad, with $458 on it, $40K lifetime profit over 1,120 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is iHaveBeenPwned, with $264 on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 5 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 53¢ and No at 47¢, a 53% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 16, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
58% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 16, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.