Who's betting on “Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $272K traded all time
- Held now
- $29K by 261 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 107 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 154 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $272K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.
Who holds it
261 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 261 of them. The largest Yes holder is 881112, with $209 on it, $450K lifetime profit over 1,119 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is RdogTest, with $4.2K on it, $335 lifetime profit over 18 markets (89% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.2K on No.
- Holders
- 107
- Money on it
- $683
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 154
- Money on it
- $28K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1.2K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$683 on it
- 188111260% won of 1,119 · whale$209+$450K lifetime
- 2Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$59+$154K lifetime
- 30xfa4dDc072aB4450AF812Da3b1C4f8307CC71e4F5-172354571926527% won of 102 · noise$55+$286 lifetime
- 4GodRama85% won of 260 · whale$46+$16K lifetime
- 5laureman71% won of 272 · whale$34+$5.7K lifetime
No$28K on it
- 1RdogTest89% won of 18$4.2K+$335 lifetime
- 2enrico-vasaio65% won of 1,070 · whale$2.4K+$23K lifetime
- 3Tenebrus766% won of 1,613 · whale$2.1K+$154K lifetime
- 408052691% won of 11$1.8K+$1.1K lifetime
- 5Noname33377% won of 220 · balanced$1.6K+$14K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
5 more- December 31, 2026$267K vol.Yes 40%No 61%Smart money: No
- November 30, 2026$98K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money: Yes
- September 30, 2026$233K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 5, 2026$43K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?$14K vol. · ClosedYes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)"?
261 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 261 of them. The largest Yes holder is 881112, with $209 on it, $450K lifetime profit over 1,119 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is RdogTest, with $4.2K on it, $335 lifetime profit over 18 markets (89% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $272K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.