Who's betting on “Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $97K traded all time
- Held now
- $18K by 124 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 98% 47 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 71% 76 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 29¢ and No at 71¢, a 71% implied chance of No. $97K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
98% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
Who holds it
124 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 123 of them. The largest Yes holder is OpenSourceIntel, with $1.7K on it, $37K lifetime profit over 379 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is KrackenSruster, with $2.3K on it, $274K lifetime profit over 907 markets (66% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $355 on No.
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $5.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 77
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $355
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.2K on it
- 1OpenSourceIntel38% won of 379 · noise$1.7K+$37K lifetime
- 2SakuraDevil75% won of 294 · whale$1.5K+$9.4K lifetime
- 3Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$406+$1.5M lifetime
- 40xfa4dDc072aB4450AF812Da3b1C4f8307CC71e4F5-172354571926527% won of 102 · noise$264+$286 lifetime
- 5Leclerc0451% won of 1,214 · balanced$244+$3.8K lifetime
No$13K on it
- 1KrackenSruster66% won of 907 · whale$2.3K+$274K lifetime
- 2Smart-bettor783% won of 212$1.5K−$2.4K lifetime
- 3ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$1.4K+$313K lifetime
- 4RogerFed70% won of 388$710−$13K lifetime
- 5MrMelonHead66% won of 381 · whale$604+$12K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
5 more- October 31, 2026$272K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- December 31, 2026$264K vol.Yes 40%No 60%Smart money: No
- September 30, 2026$233K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 5, 2026$43K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?$14K vol. · ClosedYes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?"?
124 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 123 of them. The largest Yes holder is OpenSourceIntel, with $1.7K on it, $37K lifetime profit over 379 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is KrackenSruster, with $2.3K on it, $274K lifetime profit over 907 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 29¢ and No at 71¢, a 71% implied chance of No. $97K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
98% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.