
Who's betting on “Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5”?
Smart money leans Over: 59% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 38 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $29K traded all time
- Held now
- $19K by 80 wallets
- Smart share · Over
- 59% 47 scored holders
- Smart share · Under
- 21% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Over at 73¢ and Under at 28¢, a 73% implied chance of Over. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Over and 21% of the money on Under is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Over, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned Under, by 71 points.
Who holds it
80 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Over holder is MilesY, with $3.1K on it, $229K lifetime loss over 495 markets (68% won). The largest Under holder is Forecastication2, with $2.4K on it, $377K lifetime loss over 3,633 markets (86% won).
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $5.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsOver$14K on it
- 1MilesY68% won of 495$3.1K−$229K lifetime
- 2hi774c84% won of 1,410 · whale$2.9K+$142K lifetime
- 3HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,745 · whale$2.2K+$3.0M lifetime
- 4strawberrycreek65% won of 279$924−$31K lifetime
- 5mattjay49% won of 836$651−$89K lifetime
Under$5.2K on it
- 1Forecastication286% won of 3,633$2.4K−$377K lifetime
- 2nigiri9946% won of 18,361$1.4K−$1.3M lifetime
- 3Flaznorp52% won of 162,507 · whale$598+$1.1M lifetime
- 40x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-176979622198986% won of 1,914$138−$31K lifetime
- 5Gl4d62% won of 1,162 · whale$116+$36K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Thunder vs. Cavaliers
19 more- Spread -4.5$1.7M vol.Cavaliers 30%Thunder 71%Smart money split
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers$769K vol.Thunder 52%Cavaliers 49%Smart money: Thunder
- O/U 227.5$81K vol.Over 66%Under 35%Smart money: Over
- Spread -3.5$80K vol.Cavaliers 34%Thunder 66%Smart money split
- O/U 228.5$79K vol.Over 59%Under 41%Smart money: Over
- O/U 230.5$38K vol.Over 52%Under 48%Smart money: Under
- Spread -6.5$31K vol.Cavaliers 20%Thunder 80%Smart money split
- Spread -2.5$11K vol.Cavaliers 40%Thunder 60%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 229.5$9.2K vol.Over 56%Under 44%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -5.5$8.5K vol.Cavaliers 26%Thunder 75%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$7.8K vol.Cavaliers 46%Thunder 55%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -3.5$7.3K vol.Thunder 37%Cavaliers 63%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -7.5$6.3K vol.Thunder 31%Cavaliers 69%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 232.5$4.0K vol.Over 44%Under 56%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 220.5$3.0K vol.Over 86%Under 14%Too little scored money to compare
- 1H O/U 115.5$27K vol. · ClosedResolved UnderToo little scored money to compare
- 1H Moneyline$5.9K vol. · ClosedResolved ThunderToo little scored money to compare
- 1H Spread -1.5$4.0K vol. · ClosedResolved ThunderToo little scored money to compare
- 1H Spread -3.5$3.9K vol. · ClosedResolved ThunderToo little scored money to compare
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Questions
Who is betting on "Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5"?
80 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Over holder is MilesY, with $3.1K on it, $229K lifetime loss over 495 markets (68% won). The largest Under holder is Forecastication2, with $2.4K on it, $377K lifetime loss over 3,633 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5"?
Polymarket prices Over at 73¢ and Under at 28¢, a 73% implied chance of Over. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Over and 21% of the money on Under is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Over, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned Under, by 71 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.