Who's betting on “Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $29K by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Cavaliers
- 97% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · Thunder
- 95% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 45¢ and Thunder at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of Thunder. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
97% of the money on Cavaliers and 95% of the money on Thunder is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is woshikd99, with $12K on it, $26K lifetime profit over 218 markets (71% won). The largest Thunder holder is HomeRunHazard, with $13K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,745 markets (56% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsCavaliers$12K on it
- 1woshikd9971% won of 218 · balanced$12K+$26K lifetime
- 20x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-177195966208082% won of 1,842$170−$8.5K lifetime
- 3RN160% won of 40,888 · whale$151+$13M lifetime
- 4TraderXI50% won of 4,711$79−$26K lifetime
- 5predict00881% won of 844$48−$47K lifetime
Thunder$17K on it
- 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,745 · whale$13K+$3.0M lifetime
- 2VeryLucky88859% won of 69,597 · whale$2.3K+$417K lifetime
- 3ferdinand247% won of 24,728$380−$42K lifetime
- 4CAcap85% won of 8,956$230−$66K lifetime
- 5LightParadox77% won of 737 · balanced$226+$19K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Thunder vs. Cavaliers
11 more- Spread -4.5$1.6M vol.Cavaliers 51%Thunder 49%Smart money split
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers$279K vol.Thunder 39%Cavaliers 62%Smart money split
- O/U 227.5$75K vol.Over 56%Under 44%Smart money: Over
- Spread -3.5$74K vol.Cavaliers 53%Thunder 47%Smart money split
- O/U 228.5$70K vol.Over 53%Under 47%Smart money: Over
- O/U 230.5$34K vol.Over 46%Under 54%Smart money: Under
- O/U 226.5$26K vol.Over 56%Under 44%Smart money: Over
- 1H O/U 115.5$24K vol.Over 41%Under 60%Smart money: Over
- Spread -5.5$6.7K vol.Cavaliers 47%Thunder 53%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -2.5$6.7K vol.Cavaliers 58%Thunder 42%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$6.5K vol.Cavaliers 60%Thunder 40%Too little scored money to compare
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$39M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
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- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.8M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is woshikd99, with $12K on it, $26K lifetime profit over 218 markets (71% won). The largest Thunder holder is HomeRunHazard, with $13K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,745 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)"?
Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 45¢ and Thunder at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of Thunder. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Cavaliers and 95% of the money on Thunder is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.