Who's betting on “Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5”?
Smart money leans Under: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 86 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $34K traded all time
- Held now
- $32K by 90 wallets
- Smart share · Over
- 9% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · Under
- 95% 54 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Over at 46¢ and Under at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of Under. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
9% of the money on Over and 95% of the money on Under is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Under, by 86 points.
Who holds it
90 wallets hold a position worth $32K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Over holder is shaillakhani, with $8.1K on it, $63K lifetime loss over 329 markets (88% won). The largest Under holder is HomeRunHazard, with $10.0K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,745 markets (56% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 86%
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsOver$15K on it
- 1shaillakhani88% won of 329$8.1K−$63K lifetime
- 2ComingBack97% won of 695$4.6K−$661K lifetime
- 30x430Df9Fc7525788F162804eba5ad009bA1ae3f6a-177179878958524% won of 27,555$594+$240K lifetime
- 40x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-176544235487259% won of 20,769 · whale$460+$892K lifetime
- 5nigiri9946% won of 18,361$405−$1.3M lifetime
Under$17K on it
- 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,745 · whale$10.0K+$3.0M lifetime
- 2Reformedx94% won of 670 · whale$2.2K+$17K lifetime
- 3hi774c84% won of 1,410 · whale$1.1K+$142K lifetime
- 40x6387…95dc90% won of 202 · balanced$825+$14K lifetime
- 5Herdonia60% won of 3,371 · whale$811+$57K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Thunder vs. Cavaliers
11 more- Spread -4.5$1.6M vol.Cavaliers 51%Thunder 49%Smart money split
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers$279K vol.Thunder 39%Cavaliers 62%Smart money split
- O/U 227.5$75K vol.Over 56%Under 44%Smart money: Over
- Spread -3.5$74K vol.Cavaliers 53%Thunder 47%Smart money split
- O/U 228.5$70K vol.Over 53%Under 47%Smart money: Over
- O/U 226.5$26K vol.Over 56%Under 44%Smart money: Over
- 1H O/U 115.5$24K vol.Over 41%Under 60%Smart money: Over
- Spread -6.5$12K vol.Cavaliers 45%Thunder 56%Smart money split
- Spread -5.5$6.7K vol.Cavaliers 47%Thunder 53%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -2.5$6.7K vol.Cavaliers 58%Thunder 42%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$6.5K vol.Cavaliers 60%Thunder 40%Too little scored money to compare
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- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
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Questions
Who is betting on "Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5"?
90 wallets hold a position worth $32K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Over holder is shaillakhani, with $8.1K on it, $63K lifetime loss over 329 markets (88% won). The largest Under holder is HomeRunHazard, with $10.0K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,745 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5"?
Polymarket prices Over at 46¢ and Under at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of Under. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
9% of the money on Over and 95% of the money on Under is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Under, by 86 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.