Who's betting on “Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5”?
Smart money leans Over: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $70K traded all time
- Held now
- $59K by 99 wallets
- Smart share · Over
- 69% 55 scored holders
- Smart share · Under
- 47% 42 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Over at 53¢ and Under at 47¢, a 53% implied chance of Over. $70K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
69% of the money on Over and 47% of the money on Under is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Over, by 23 points.
Who holds it
99 wallets hold a position worth $59K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 97 of them. The largest Over holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $11K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 30,678 markets (58% won). The largest Under holder is Multicoloured-Serf, with $8.7K on it, $181K lifetime loss over 306 markets (75% won).
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $31K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $28K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsOver$31K on it
- 1ferrariChampions202658% won of 30,678 · whale$11K+$2.4M lifetime
- 2monkeymashingkeyboard90% won of 745 · whale$8.9K+$1.1M lifetime
- 3Oxhang83% won of 6$7.3K−$95K lifetime
- 4geraldo77790% won of 329$1.1K−$24K lifetime
- 50x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-176544235487259% won of 20,769 · whale$629+$892K lifetime
Under$28K on it
- 1Multicoloured-Serf75% won of 306$8.7K−$181K lifetime
- 2HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,745 · whale$6.0K+$3.0M lifetime
- 3UpTheBlues69% won of 97,256 · whale$2.3K+$1.4M lifetime
- 40x4278F7E5CB5f2d68d204d7403270c79CB07e0E92-176272476894192% won of 359$1.8K−$9.0K lifetime
- 5nigiri9946% won of 18,361$1.8K−$1.3M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Thunder vs. Cavaliers
11 more- Spread -4.5$1.6M vol.Cavaliers 51%Thunder 49%Smart money split
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers$279K vol.Thunder 39%Cavaliers 62%Smart money split
- O/U 227.5$75K vol.Over 56%Under 44%Smart money: Over
- Spread -3.5$74K vol.Cavaliers 53%Thunder 47%Smart money split
- O/U 230.5$34K vol.Over 46%Under 54%Smart money: Under
- O/U 226.5$26K vol.Over 56%Under 44%Smart money: Over
- 1H O/U 115.5$24K vol.Over 41%Under 60%Smart money: Over
- Spread -6.5$12K vol.Cavaliers 45%Thunder 56%Smart money split
- Spread -5.5$6.7K vol.Cavaliers 47%Thunder 53%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -2.5$6.7K vol.Cavaliers 58%Thunder 42%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$6.5K vol.Cavaliers 60%Thunder 40%Too little scored money to compare
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- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.8M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5"?
99 wallets hold a position worth $59K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 97 of them. The largest Over holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $11K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 30,678 markets (58% won). The largest Under holder is Multicoloured-Serf, with $8.7K on it, $181K lifetime loss over 306 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5"?
Polymarket prices Over at 53¢ and Under at 47¢, a 53% implied chance of Over. $70K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Over and 47% of the money on Under is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Over, by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.