Who's betting on “Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $74K traded all time
- Held now
- $61K by 118 wallets
- Smart share · Cavaliers
- 63% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · Thunder
- 61% 75 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 53¢ and Thunder at 47¢, a 53% implied chance of Cavaliers. $74K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
63% of the money on Cavaliers and 61% of the money on Thunder is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
Who holds it
118 wallets hold a position worth $61K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465, with $11K on it, $4.4M lifetime profit over 6,384 markets (48% won). The largest Thunder holder is Multicoloured-Serf, with $9.1K on it, $181K lifetime loss over 306 markets (75% won).
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $33K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 76
- Money on it
- $29K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsCavaliers$33K on it
- 10x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546548% won of 6,384 · whale$11K+$4.4M lifetime
- 20xe567…4fcbno record yet$11K
- 3EdZachary90% won of 124$5.2K−$167K lifetime
- 4i40072% won of 716 · whale$1.3K+$84K lifetime
- 5lonzoball65% won of 261$1.2K−$1.8K lifetime
Thunder$29K on it
- 1Multicoloured-Serf75% won of 306$9.1K−$181K lifetime
- 2SunlineTicker71% won of 1,662 · whale$5.5K+$330K lifetime
- 3HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,745 · whale$3.7K+$3.0M lifetime
- 4ferrariChampions202658% won of 30,678 · whale$3.5K+$2.4M lifetime
- 5VeryLucky88859% won of 69,597 · whale$1.1K+$417K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Thunder vs. Cavaliers
11 more- Spread -4.5$1.6M vol.Cavaliers 51%Thunder 49%Smart money split
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers$279K vol.Thunder 39%Cavaliers 62%Smart money split
- O/U 227.5$75K vol.Over 56%Under 44%Smart money: Over
- O/U 228.5$70K vol.Over 53%Under 47%Smart money: Over
- O/U 230.5$34K vol.Over 46%Under 54%Smart money: Under
- O/U 226.5$26K vol.Over 56%Under 44%Smart money: Over
- 1H O/U 115.5$24K vol.Over 41%Under 60%Smart money: Over
- Spread -6.5$12K vol.Cavaliers 45%Thunder 56%Smart money split
- Spread -5.5$6.7K vol.Cavaliers 47%Thunder 53%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -2.5$6.7K vol.Cavaliers 58%Thunder 42%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$6.5K vol.Cavaliers 60%Thunder 40%Too little scored money to compare
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- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
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- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)"?
118 wallets hold a position worth $61K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465, with $11K on it, $4.4M lifetime profit over 6,384 markets (48% won). The largest Thunder holder is Multicoloured-Serf, with $9.1K on it, $181K lifetime loss over 306 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)"?
Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 53¢ and Thunder at 47¢, a 53% implied chance of Cavaliers. $74K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Cavaliers and 61% of the money on Thunder is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.