
Who's betting on “Spread: Thunder (-3.5)”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.1K by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Thunder
- - 22 scored holders
- Smart share · Cavaliers
- - 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Thunder at 100¢ and Cavaliers at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Thunder. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $7.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Thunder holder is 0x9983…126a, with $2.4K on it. The largest Cavaliers holder is LightParadox, with $1 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 737 markets (77% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $7.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $4
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsThunder$7.1K on it
- 10x9983…126ano record yet$2.4K
- 20x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-176544235487259% won of 20,769 · whale$1.2K+$892K lifetime
- 3Anon45553% won of 8,730$678−$30K lifetime
- 4651239531459788450% won of 12,858$591−$36K lifetime
- 50x0CBB0a19Fe967A735F6659d2A39338161ceA59Fc-176036332091997% won of 352 · balanced$463+$13K lifetime
Cavaliers$4 on it
- 1LightParadox77% won of 737 · balanced$1+$19K lifetime
- 20x9b11…537549% won of 7,642 · whale$1+$502K lifetime
- 3Limousin77% won of 745 · balanced$0+$33K lifetime
- 4master-wuji71% won of 201 · whale$0+$105K lifetime
- 5Venusian77% won of 665 · balanced$0+$17K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Thunder vs. Cavaliers
21 more- Spread -4.5$1.7M vol.Cavaliers 0%Thunder 100%Smart money split
- Thunder vs. Cavaliers$1.2M vol.Thunder 100%Cavaliers 0%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -3.5$83K vol.Cavaliers 0%Thunder 100%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 227.5$82K vol.Over 100%Under 0%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 228.5$80K vol.Over 100%Under 0%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 230.5$39K vol.Over 0%Under 100%Smart money: Under
- Spread -6.5$33K vol.Cavaliers 0%Thunder 100%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 226.5$29K vol.Over 100%Under 0%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -2.5$14K vol.Cavaliers 0%Thunder 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$13K vol.Cavaliers 0%Thunder 100%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 229.5$13K vol.Over 0%Under 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -5.5$11K vol.Cavaliers 0%Thunder 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$8.2K vol.Thunder 100%Cavaliers 1%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -7.5$7.5K vol.Thunder 0%Cavaliers 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -5.5$4.4K vol.Thunder 1%Cavaliers 100%Too little scored money to compare
- O/U 232.5$4.3K vol.Over 0%Under 100%Too little scored money to compare
- 1H O/U 115.5$27K vol. · ClosedResolved UnderToo little scored money to compare
- 1H Moneyline$5.9K vol. · ClosedResolved ThunderToo little scored money to compare
- 1H Spread -1.5$4.0K vol. · ClosedResolved ThunderToo little scored money to compare
- 1H Spread -3.5$3.9K vol. · ClosedResolved ThunderToo little scored money to compare
- O/U 220.5$3.7K vol. · ClosedResolved OverToo little scored money to compare
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- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Thunder (-3.5)"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $7.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Thunder holder is 0x9983…126a, with $2.4K on it. The largest Cavaliers holder is LightParadox, with $1 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 737 markets (77% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Thunder (-3.5)"?
Polymarket prices Thunder at 100¢ and Cavaliers at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Thunder. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.