Who's betting on “Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 49 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $88K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.4K by 66 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 37% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 34 points. A week ago, Yes by 52 points.
Who holds it
66 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is meagainsttheworld, with $101 on it, $142K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is Hull, with $1.4K on it, $20K lifetime loss over 1,222 markets (60% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $10 on Yes.
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $290
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 1 · $10
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $3.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$290 on it
- 1meagainsttheworld76% won of 1,058 · whale$101+$142K lifetime
- 2Dontyouworry70% won of 20 · balanced$28+$203 lifetime
- 3Avitz3331% won of 269 · noise$26+$11K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$22+$334K lifetime
- 50x91c3…409f45% won of 432$20+$9.1K lifetime
No$3.1K on it
- 1Hull60% won of 1,222$1.4K−$20K lifetime
- 2Wowiwow81% won of 327 · balanced$298+$19K lifetime
- 3DFC88% won of 207 · balanced$272+$1.3K lifetime
- 4Notard84% won of 227 · balanced$266+$2.8K lifetime
- 50x36dAfd0ed99D902F8bDfe9e090ecDc48b053907B-176268842113674% won of 408$183−$2.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Israel military action against Syria by...?
1 moreOther big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?"?
66 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is meagainsttheworld, with $101 on it, $142K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is Hull, with $1.4K on it, $20K lifetime loss over 1,222 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 34 points. A week ago, Yes by 52 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.