Who's betting on “Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $37K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 94% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
94% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is BabyGroot, with $32 on it, $59K lifetime profit over 898 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is Jest55, with $1.2K on it, $145K lifetime profit over 1,084 markets (73% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $125
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$125 on it
- 1BabyGroot70% won of 898 · whale$32+$59K lifetime
- 20x2Db7211fBD60A7CeFC804eaB39a250Db46828f9b-177253503005660% won of 291 · balanced$28+$4.1K lifetime
- 3ToTheWindow55% won of 441 · whale$27+$36K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$11+$254K lifetime
- 5S88872% won of 375 · whale$6+$14K lifetime
No$2.6K on it
- 1Jest5573% won of 1,084 · whale$1.2K+$145K lifetime
- 2TronOG83% won of 417 · whale$573+$60K lifetime
- 3AlAhmeda71% won of 1,367$518−$96K lifetime
- 4tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$106+$973K lifetime
- 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$39+$560 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?
2 more- September 30$69K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026?$26K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.4M vol.Yes 38%No 63%Smart money: Yes
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$980K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is BabyGroot, with $32 on it, $59K lifetime profit over 898 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is Jest55, with $1.2K on it, $145K lifetime profit over 1,084 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.