Who's betting on “Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $272K traded all time
- Held now
- $58K by 147 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 72 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 51% 75 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $272K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 57 points.
Who holds it
147 wallets hold a position worth $58K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 147 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $213 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $18K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $462
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $57K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$462 on it
- 1RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$213+$819K lifetime
- 2AlphaBetaGamma235750% won of 253 · whale$56+$85K lifetime
- 3spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$32+$27K lifetime
- 4Phenium84% won of 207$29−$20K lifetime
- 5taerv53438% won of 221 · noise$23+$89K lifetime
No$57K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$18K−$4.7M lifetime
- 2Alpheo81% won of 42 · balanced$14K+$9.4K lifetime
- 3Everestpredictions71% won of 290 · whale$7.1K+$142 lifetime
- 4GoingGangrene96% won of 229$4.3K−$4.0K lifetime
- 5endangered.species72% won of 25 · balanced$2.6K+$9.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Houthis enter Aden by...?
3 more- December 31$236K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- November 30$43K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$180K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?"?
147 wallets hold a position worth $58K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 147 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $213 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $18K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $272K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 57 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.