Who's betting on “Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $236K traded all time
- Held now
- $29K by 167 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 67 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 36% 100 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $236K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 34 points. A week ago, Yes by 34 points.
Who holds it
167 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 167 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $935 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is GammaSqueeze1234, with $3.3K on it, $182 lifetime loss over 110 markets (54% won).
- Holders
- 67
- Money on it
- $4.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 100
- Money on it
- $25K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.9K on it
- 1RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$935+$819K lifetime
- 2Phenium84% won of 207$748−$20K lifetime
- 3AlphaBetaGamma235750% won of 253 · whale$660+$85K lifetime
- 4zhaoyk46% won of 26 · noise$601+$12K lifetime
- 5BigRabbit36% won of 1,102 · noise$413+$127K lifetime
No$25K on it
- 1GammaSqueeze123454% won of 110$3.3K−$182 lifetime
- 2GOLADS9677% won of 60$3.3K−$2.2K lifetime
- 3D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$2.7K+$85K lifetime
- 4RogerFed70% won of 388$2.5K−$13K lifetime
- 5Inchoroi65% won of 286$1.6K−$21K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Houthis enter Aden by...?
3 more- October 31$272K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- November 30$43K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$180K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?"?
167 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 167 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $935 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is GammaSqueeze1234, with $3.3K on it, $182 lifetime loss over 110 markets (54% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $236K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 34 points. A week ago, Yes by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.