Who's betting on “Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $43K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.7K by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 98% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
98% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $7.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $270 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is endangered.species, with $2.7K on it, $9.5K lifetime profit over 25 markets (72% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $652
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $7.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$652 on it
- 1RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$270+$819K lifetime
- 2AlphaBetaGamma235750% won of 253 · whale$254+$85K lifetime
- 3AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$35+$122K lifetime
- 4Leclerc0451% won of 1,214 · balanced$24+$3.8K lifetime
- 50x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff58% won of 217 · whale$17+$4.2K lifetime
No$7.0K on it
- 1endangered.species72% won of 25 · balanced$2.7K+$9.5K lifetime
- 2HannaWaltter0% won of 1$938−$15 lifetime
- 3Everestpredictions71% won of 290 · whale$862+$142 lifetime
- 4buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$856+$83K lifetime
- 50xFc2F4f50ce2F6045d35558A5E2D8d4b2aC6610c7-176909700745166% won of 614 · whale$458+$191K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Houthis enter Aden by...?
3 more- October 31$272K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- December 31$236K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$180K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $7.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $270 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is endangered.species, with $2.7K on it, $9.5K lifetime profit over 25 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
98% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.