Who's betting on “Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $64K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.6K by 100 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 55 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 49% 45 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $64K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 29 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
Who holds it
100 wallets hold a position worth $8.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them. The largest Yes holder is Car, with $174 on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,784 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is GOLADS96, with $2.0K on it, $2.2K lifetime loss over 60 markets (77% won).
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $622
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $8.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$622 on it
- 1Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$174+$1.5M lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$81+$254K lifetime
- 3aliaspopeye51% won of 367$72−$383 lifetime
- 4Cungly64% won of 316 · whale$49+$42K lifetime
- 5Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$42+$154K lifetime
No$8.0K on it
- 1GOLADS9677% won of 60$2.0K−$2.2K lifetime
- 2Digital-Boy16% won of 2,232$1.3K−$78K lifetime
- 3DooBieZ55% won of 1,106 · whale$1.1K+$6.5K lifetime
- 4ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$911+$313K lifetime
- 588111260% won of 1,124 · whale$821+$451K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?"?
100 wallets hold a position worth $8.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them. The largest Yes holder is Car, with $174 on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,784 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is GOLADS96, with $2.0K on it, $2.2K lifetime loss over 60 markets (77% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $64K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 29 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.