Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 28?”?
Smart money leans No: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.3K by 119 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 71 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points.
Who holds it
119 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 119 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xfda1…416c, with $2 on it, $114 lifetime loss over 1,392 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is Sylar012, with $2.4K on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 2,826 markets (99% won).
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $4
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $5.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 89%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4 on it
- 10xfda1…416c61% won of 1,392$2−$114 lifetime
- 2samhain4ik73% won of 224 · whale$0+$13K lifetime
- 3gghff41% won of 1,256 · noise$0+$14K lifetime
- 40x3308…c27e91% won of 128 · balanced$0+$3.8K lifetime
- 50xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-17788119872518% won of 31,027 · noise$0+$46K lifetime
No$5.3K on it
- 1Sylar01299% won of 2,826 · whale$2.4K+$5.1K lifetime
- 224153253243258% won of 6,492 · balanced$539+$15K lifetime
- 3BeginnersLuck298% won of 1,536 · whale$534+$32K lifetime
- 4MatrixAL99% won of 673$342−$335 lifetime
- 5MrBPT99% won of 620 · balanced$113+$3.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in NYC on October 28?
3 more- 62-63°F$23K vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- 60-61°F$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- 58-59°F$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 28?"?
119 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 119 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xfda1…416c, with $2 on it, $114 lifetime loss over 1,392 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is Sylar012, with $2.4K on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 2,826 markets (99% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 28?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.