Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 50 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $23K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 204 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 37% 105 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 98 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
37% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 61 points.
Who holds it
204 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 203 of them. The largest Yes holder is BrettAutomatic, with $4.1K on it, $20K lifetime loss over 595 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is hello.67, with $2 on it, $57K lifetime profit over 4,801 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 105
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 99
- Money on it
- $4
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$11K on it
- 1BrettAutomatic48% won of 595$4.1K−$20K lifetime
- 2Sylar01299% won of 2,826 · whale$792+$5.1K lifetime
- 3ggggggsy61% won of 312$451−$18K lifetime
- 40xf6D0F4F665f6D3a8d6749675e8819Fb412CD3c67-176503271042799% won of 1,469 · grinder$400+$64 lifetime
- 5Varyag66% won of 226 · balanced$360+$22K lifetime
No$4 on it
- 1hello.6770% won of 4,801 · whale$2+$57K lifetime
- 2Bilberry65% won of 6,981 · whale$0+$51K lifetime
- 30xeb1b…87c078% won of 1,840 · whale$0+$47K lifetime
- 424153253243258% won of 6,492 · balanced$0+$15K lifetime
- 50x3308…c27e91% won of 128 · balanced$0+$3.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in NYC on October 28?
3 more- 60-61°F$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- 64-65°F$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 58-59°F$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?"?
204 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 203 of them. The largest Yes holder is BrettAutomatic, with $4.1K on it, $20K lifetime loss over 595 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is hello.67, with $2 on it, $57K lifetime profit over 4,801 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
37% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 61 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.