Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 28?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.9K by 188 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 79% 113 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 74 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
79% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
Who holds it
188 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 187 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xeb1b…87c0, with $1 on it, $47K lifetime profit over 1,840 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is 0x3308…c27e, with $725 on it, $3.8K lifetime profit over 128 markets (91% won).
- Holders
- 114
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 74
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 88%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3 on it
- 10xeb1b…87c078% won of 1,840 · whale$1+$47K lifetime
- 2Bilberry65% won of 6,977 · whale$0+$52K lifetime
- 324153253243258% won of 6,473 · balanced$0+$15K lifetime
- 4AuspiciousWolf68% won of 4,114 · balanced$0+$5.0K lifetime
- 5aHjCz29% won of 47,705 · noise$0+$655K lifetime
No$3.9K on it
- 10x3308…c27e91% won of 128 · balanced$725+$3.8K lifetime
- 21DVSBSTD99% won of 11,086 · whale$548+$2.7K lifetime
- 3win2026072699% won of 1,579 · whale$369+$1.4K lifetime
- 4deadbu100% won of 3,148 · grinder$202+$295 lifetime
- 50xb0f3…817b100% won of 31$158+$303 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in NYC on October 28?
3 more- 62-63°F$23K vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- 64-65°F$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 58-59°F$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$501K vol.Yes 34%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 28?"?
188 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 187 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xeb1b…87c0, with $1 on it, $47K lifetime profit over 1,840 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is 0x3308…c27e, with $725 on it, $3.8K lifetime profit over 128 markets (91% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 28?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.