Who's betting on “Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?”?
Smart money leans No: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.3K by 138 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 63% 75 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 63 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
63% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points.
Who holds it
138 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 138 of them. The largest Yes holder is BeefSlayer, with $0 on it, $87K lifetime profit over 695 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is 0xef03567fC5a30B665efca7e9eF2e9e3fe6031FbF-1759574216489, with $360 on it, $946 lifetime profit over 417 markets (95% won).
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 63
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 86%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3 on it
- 1BeefSlayer28% won of 695 · noise$0+$87K lifetime
- 2srodomeniko92% won of 204$0−$21 lifetime
- 30xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-17788119872518% won of 31,027 · noise$0+$46K lifetime
- 4antoniosporano98% won of 9,263 · whale$0+$14K lifetime
- 5aHjCz29% won of 47,810 · noise$0+$656K lifetime
No$3.3K on it
- 10xef03567fC5a30B665efca7e9eF2e9e3fe6031FbF-175957421648995% won of 417 · grinder$360+$946 lifetime
- 21DVSBSTD99% won of 11,086 · whale$263+$2.7K lifetime
- 324153253243258% won of 6,492 · balanced$243+$15K lifetime
- 40xC8d695d901814E811D0f2a0aEba774FF67D93999-176178359555996% won of 1,445$232−$2.6K lifetime
- 5MrBPT99% won of 620 · balanced$227+$3.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest temperature in NYC on October 28?
3 more- 62-63°F$23K vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- 60-61°F$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- 64-65°F$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?"?
138 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 138 of them. The largest Yes holder is BeefSlayer, with $0 on it, $87K lifetime profit over 695 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is 0xef03567fC5a30B665efca7e9eF2e9e3fe6031FbF-1759574216489, with $360 on it, $946 lifetime profit over 417 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.