Who's betting on “Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 90 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 62 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 53% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $21K has been traded on it.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
Who holds it
90 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them.
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $6
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
2 more- 44%+$61K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- 38-41%$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
90 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $21K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $21K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.