Who's betting on “Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 93 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 65 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 62% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $12K has been traded on it.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
Who holds it
93 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them.
- Holders
- 65
- Money on it
- $6
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
2 more- 44%+$61K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- 41-44%$21K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
93 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $12K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $12K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.