Who's betting on “0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 61% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $32K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 106 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 56 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 44% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 7, 2026. $32K has been traded on it.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 55 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
Who holds it
106 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 104 of them.
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $467
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
1 moreOther big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 36%No 65%Smart money: Yes
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?"?
106 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 104 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?"?
This market closed on October 7, 2026. $32K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 55 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 7, 2026. $32K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.