alivedeer
Down $2.5K on $927K traded, ranked #3,164,167 of all Polymarket traders.
- Win rate
- 41% of 273 markets
- ROI
- −0.3% profit over volume
- Volume
- $927K all time
- Open now
- $565 in 7 markets
- Politics77%
- Geopolitics14%
- Economy9%
About alivedeer
The money
alivedeer is a Polymarket trader with a $2.5K lifetime loss on $927K traded. That is a return of −0.3% on every dollar they have put through the market. On Polymarket's all-time profit leaderboard they rank #3,164,167. Polkyo has been recording their moves since October 2026.
The record
Polkyo has scored 273 closed markets for alivedeer, and they came out ahead on 41% of them. Their Polkyo Score, which weighs edge, consistency, track record and profit, is 24 out of 100: a weak record so far.
How they trade
Most of their open money is in politics (77%), geopolitics (14%) and economy (9%) markets.
Right now
Right now the scanner sees alivedeer in 7 open markets, with $565 on the line. Their largest position is $188 on Yes in "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?", which trades at 24¢. Next is $80 on Yes in "NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?".
The last 30 days
In the last 30 days Polkyo logged 73 moves by alivedeer across 46 markets: $3.0K bought and $1.1K sold. The latest: sold out of $20 of Yes in "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?" at 100¢.
What alivedeer holds right now
7 open markets · $565
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes$188Yes at 24¢ · 24% chance · Politics
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes$80Yes at 1¢ · 1% chance · Geopolitics
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$79Yes at 8¢ · 8% chance · Politics
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?Yes$58Yes at 3¢ · 3% chance · Politics
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes$55Yes at 6¢ · 6% chance · Politics
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No$54No at 73¢ · 73% chance · PoliticsLatest moves
what alivedeer did most recently- Sold out ofUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?−$20Yes at 100¢ · 13d ago
BoughtNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?+$46Yes at 57¢ · 15d ago- Sold out ofNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?−$52Yes at 26¢ · 15d ago
- BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?+$188Yes at 24¢ · 18d ago
- BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?+$53Yes at 4¢ · 18d ago
Sold out ofWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?−$100No at 98¢ · 18d ago- TrimmedNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?−$150Yes at 8¢ · 18d ago
Don't just read about alivedeer. Trade alongside them.
Questions about alivedeer
Is alivedeer a good Polymarket trader?
Polkyo has scored 273 closed markets for alivedeer, and they came out ahead on 41% of them. Their Polkyo Score, which weighs edge, consistency, track record and profit, is 24 out of 100: a weak record so far. In all, they are down $2.5K.
How much has alivedeer made on Polymarket?
alivedeer has lost $2.5K in total on $927K traded, #3,164,167 on Polymarket's all-time leaderboard.
What is alivedeer betting on right now?
Right now the scanner sees alivedeer in 7 open markets, with $565 on the line. Their largest position is $188 on Yes in "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?", which trades at 24¢. Next is $80 on Yes in "NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?".
Is alivedeer a bot?
Polkyo has not classified this wallet's trading yet.
How can I follow alivedeer's trades?
Open alivedeer's page on Polkyo and press Follow: you get an alert every time they buy or sell, and every trade lands on your watchlist. You can also copy their trades with play money in paper copy trading. Both are free.
Figures from Polymarket's public data, scored by Polkyo with <2s update latency. How Polkyo works. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.