Who's betting on “Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 52 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $155K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.1K by 151 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 25% 72 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 78 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $155K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
25% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 51 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.
Who holds it
151 wallets hold a position worth $9.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 150 of them. The largest Yes holder is alivedeer, with $58 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 273 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is DFK, with $3.4K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won).
- Holders
- 73
- Money on it
- $265
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 78
- Money on it
- $8.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$265 on it
- 1alivedeer41% won of 273$58−$2.5K lifetime
- 2Ra77764% won of 14$17−$1.1K lifetime
- 30x95778F11FE15ef2Bb0f31A1E65068FE9caD6E92C-17678860294618% won of 12$16−$1.7K lifetime
- 4paula0xa92% won of 24$16−$1.8K lifetime
- 5Agyapro87% won of 223$11−$323 lifetime
No$8.9K on it
- 1DFK81% won of 771 · whale$3.4K+$42K lifetime
- 295074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b0492% won of 1,009 · whale$942+$146K lifetime
- 3BafanaBafana86% won of 28$782−$25K lifetime
- 4Melqui47% won of 240$382−$97K lifetime
- 50x8931…a90c95% won of 609 · whale$295+$29K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?"?
151 wallets hold a position worth $9.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 150 of them. The largest Yes holder is alivedeer, with $58 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 273 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is DFK, with $3.4K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $155K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
25% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 51 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.