AlfredTheShiller
Up $44K on $4.1M traded, ranked #4,075 of all Polymarket traders.
- Win rate
- 65% of 1,012 markets
- ROI
- +1.1% profit over volume
- Volume
- $4.1M all time
- Open now
- $14K in 6 markets
- Politics97%
- Geopolitics2%
- Finance1%
- Sports0%
About AlfredTheShiller
The money
AlfredTheShiller is a Polymarket trader with $44K in lifetime profit on $4.1M traded. That is a return of +1.1% on every dollar they have put through the market. On Polymarket's all-time profit leaderboard they rank #4,075. Polkyo has been recording their moves since September 2026.
The record
Polkyo has scored 1,012 closed markets for AlfredTheShiller, and they came out ahead on 65% of them. Their Polkyo Score, which weighs edge, consistency, track record and profit, is 51 out of 100: a solid, proven trader.
How they trade
Their trading reads as a person's, not a bot's or a market maker's; by style Polkyo files them as "whale"; most of their open money is in politics (97%), geopolitics (2%) and finance (1%) markets.
Right now
Right now the scanner sees AlfredTheShiller in 6 open markets, with $14K on the line. Their largest position is $12K on No in "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?", which trades at 94¢. Next is $999 on No in "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?".
The last 30 days
In the last 30 days Polkyo logged 36 moves by AlfredTheShiller across 8 markets: $4.2K bought and $4.9K sold. The latest: sold out of $2.0K of No in "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?" at 67¢.
What AlfredTheShiller holds right now
6 open markets · $14K
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No$12KNo at 94¢ · 94% chance · PoliticsFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No$999No at 100¢ · 100% chance · Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes$575Yes at 12¢ · 12% chance · Politics
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes$310Yes at 16¢ · 16% chance · Geopolitics
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No$89No at 3¢ · 3% chance · Finance
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes$69Yes at 3¢ · 3% chance · SportsLatest moves
what AlfredTheShiller did most recently
Sold out ofWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?−$2.0KNo at 67¢ · 2d ago
Bought×3Natural Disaster in 2026?+$50Yes at 11¢ · 3d ago- TrimmedStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?−$230Yes at 12¢ · 5d ago
- Bought×5Natural Disaster in 2026?+$93Yes at 12¢ · 6d ago
Don't just read about AlfredTheShiller. Trade alongside them.
Questions about AlfredTheShiller
Is AlfredTheShiller a good Polymarket trader?
Polkyo has scored 1,012 closed markets for AlfredTheShiller, and they came out ahead on 65% of them. Their Polkyo Score, which weighs edge, consistency, track record and profit, is 51 out of 100: a solid, proven trader. In all, they are up $44K.
How much has AlfredTheShiller made on Polymarket?
AlfredTheShiller has made $44K in total on $4.1M traded, #4,075 on Polymarket's all-time leaderboard.
What is AlfredTheShiller betting on right now?
Right now the scanner sees AlfredTheShiller in 6 open markets, with $14K on the line. Their largest position is $12K on No in "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?", which trades at 94¢. Next is $999 on No in "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?".
Is AlfredTheShiller a bot?
No. Polkyo reads their trading as a person's: not automated, not market making.
How can I follow AlfredTheShiller's trades?
Open AlfredTheShiller's page on Polkyo and press Follow: you get an alert every time they buy or sell, and every trade lands on your watchlist. You can also copy their trades with play money in paper copy trading. Both are free.
Figures from Polymarket's public data, scored by Polkyo with <2s update latency. How Polkyo works. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.