Who's betting on “Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 50 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.6K by 38 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 47% 18 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
47% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
Who holds it
38 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $6 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is Alpheo, with $1.7K on it, $9.4K lifetime profit over 42 markets (81% won).
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $23
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$23 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$6+$254K lifetime
- 2lissartter56% won of 2,997$3−$287K lifetime
- 3crossFiter54% won of 7,777 · balanced$2+$362 lifetime
- 44202149% won of 1,053 · whale$2+$19K lifetime
- 5GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$2−$89K lifetime
No$2.6K on it
- 1Alpheo81% won of 42 · balanced$1.7K+$9.4K lifetime
- 2randomWalkingShrimp89% won of 231 · whale$495+$39K lifetime
- 3SuAlteza96% won of 232 · grinder$198+$1.1K lifetime
- 4Flobodan40% won of 378 · noise$66+$5.0K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,301$50−$52K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?"?
38 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $6 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is Alpheo, with $1.7K on it, $9.4K lifetime profit over 42 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
47% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.