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Who's betting on “Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?”?

Politics$14K traded45 holdersEnds December 1, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
5%Yes
95%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$14K
traded all time
Held now
$1.5K
by 45 wallets
Smart share · Yes
65%
29 scored holders
Smart share · No
95%
16 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.

The smart money

65% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.

Who holds it

45 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $21 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is bakayo33 - 9934, with $492 on it, $5.5K lifetime profit over 407 markets (74% won).

Yes5%
Smart money share65%
7 days ago 60%a day ago 65%now 65%
Holders
29
Money on it
$75
Holders' win rate
45%
No95%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share95%
7 days ago 95%a day ago 95%now 95%
Holders
16
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' win rate
80%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$75 on it

  1. 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$21+$254K lifetime
  2. 2GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$10−$89K lifetime
  3. 3youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$6−$6.5K lifetime
  4. 4IFZ65% won of 176 · balanced$5+$414 lifetime
  5. 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$4+$335K lifetime

No$1.4K on it

  1. 1bakayo33 - 993474% won of 407 · balanced$492+$5.5K lifetime
  2. 2randomWalkingShrimp89% won of 231 · whale$418+$39K lifetime
  3. 3kanhaoleaha83% won of 212 · balanced$380+$209 lifetime
  4. 4EconProf83% won of 396 · balanced$44+$235 lifetime
  5. 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$37−$287K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?"?

45 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $21 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is bakayo33 - 9934, with $492 on it, $5.5K lifetime profit over 407 markets (74% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

65% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.