Who's betting on “Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?”?
Sports · $55K volume · Ends November 13, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 13, 2026.
48% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
98 wallets hold a position worth $9.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them. The largest Yes holder is End123, with $3.8K on it, $48K lifetime loss over 665 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is BlueBase-568, with $127 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 285 markets (45% won).
- Smart money share
- 48%
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $9.1K
- Holders' winrate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 92% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $363
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| End123 | $3.8K | -$48K | 62% of 665 |
| Robbbwhale | $2.5K | +$80K | 80% of 420 |
| 0x38d5…063cbalanced | $446 | +$12K | 73% of 768 |
| Bettor4747 | $361 | -$33K | 84% of 235 |
| 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938noise | $336 | +$105K | 38% of 6,018 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlueBase-568noise | $127 | +$27K | 45% of 285 |
| cowcatwhale | $117 | +$45K | 68% of 1,058 |
| tylerpredictbalanced | $36 | +$41 | 67% of 48 |
| SweetChariotwhale | $11 | +$24K | 88% of 216 |
| JoGold | $8 | -$412 | 70% of 245 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?"?
98 wallets hold a position worth $9.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them. The largest Yes holder is End123, with $3.8K on it, $48K lifetime loss over 665 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is BlueBase-568, with $127 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 285 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 13, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
48% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 13, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.