Who's betting on “Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League MVP Award?”?
Sports · $559K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $559K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
69% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 38 points.
35 wallets hold a position worth $2 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is garbagecollect1, with $0 on it, $4.8K lifetime profit over 3,911 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is 0ad5, with $1 on it, $36 lifetime profit over 54 markets (87% won).
- Smart money share
- 69%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $1
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 100%
- Holders
- 2
- Money on it
- $1
- Holders' winrate
- 87%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| garbagecollect1whale | $0 | +$4.8K | 62% of 3,911 |
| 0xbac5…d67e | $0 | -$4 | - |
| Haradwaith | $0 | -$334K | 50% of 45,650 |
| peepeepooppoopwhale | $0 | +$8.5K | 65% of 1,377 |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256whale | $0 | +$1.1K | 92% of 861 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0ad5balanced | $1 | +$36 | 87% of 54 |
| god83743894noise | $0 | +$46K | 26% of 16,070 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League MVP Award?"?
35 wallets hold a position worth $2 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is garbagecollect1, with $0 on it, $4.8K lifetime profit over 3,911 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is 0ad5, with $1 on it, $36 lifetime profit over 54 markets (87% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League MVP Award?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $559K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 38 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.