Who's betting on “Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $56K traded all time
- Held now
- $24K by 134 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 79 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 50 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
Who holds it
134 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 129 of them. The largest Yes holder is amb2025, with $7.4K on it, $380 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is balthazar, with $66 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,375 markets (53% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on No.
- Holders
- 84
- Money on it
- $24K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $138
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$24K on it
- 1amb2025no record yet$7.4K+$380 lifetime
- 2OnlyInGodWeTrust44% won of 220 · noise$2.1K+$461 lifetime
- 3gambler92551% won of 535 · whale$1.6K+$6.7K lifetime
- 40x3e59f2C319B3a0D9574FB94FB0045aEa801Db2be-176877069615958% won of 210$1.6K−$38K lifetime
- 5paddaa58% won of 1,507 · whale$1.4K+$288K lifetime
No$138 on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 52,375 · whale$66+$1.2M lifetime
- 2rocky4200352% won of 1,298 · whale$15+$35K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,080$12−$49K lifetime
- 4lissartter56% won of 2,997$8−$287K lifetime
- 52B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$8+$97K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
134 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 129 of them. The largest Yes holder is amb2025, with $7.4K on it, $380 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is balthazar, with $66 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,375 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.