Who's betting on “Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $49K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.8K by 121 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 78 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 41 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $49K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points.
Who holds it
121 wallets hold a position worth $8.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 119 of them. The largest Yes holder is 11122, with $51 on it, $640K lifetime profit over 1,140 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023, with $5.0K on it, $82K lifetime profit over 32,386 markets (9% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2 on Yes.
- Holders
- 80
- Money on it
- $160
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $8.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 27%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$160 on it
- 11112243% won of 1,140 · whale$51+$640K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$11+$127K lifetime
- 3LetMeBeYourValentine79% won of 219 · balanced$8+$6.6K lifetime
- 4HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$7+$179K lifetime
- 50x30ec9b2b09Bcf5a309827Fd34148aE14e455143C-176866113135644% won of 9$7−$35 lifetime
No$8.6K on it
- 10x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-17788112810239% won of 32,386 · noise$5.0K+$82K lifetime
- 2OnlyInGodWeTrust44% won of 220 · noise$1.8K+$461 lifetime
- 3lissartter56% won of 2,997$328−$287K lifetime
- 4rocky4200352% won of 1,298 · whale$252+$35K lifetime
- 50x4743Ff800c9F15341b7D1421E94B6114A18a2a0c-174573470564969% won of 65$223−$19K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
121 wallets hold a position worth $8.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 119 of them. The largest Yes holder is 11122, with $51 on it, $640K lifetime profit over 1,140 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023, with $5.0K on it, $82K lifetime profit over 32,386 markets (9% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $49K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.