Who's betting on “Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.3K by 26 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 11 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 54% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.
Who holds it
26 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is AiBird, with $123 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Alegrandebig, with $662 on it, $12K lifetime loss over 1,242 markets (92% won).
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $193
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$193 on it
- 1AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$123+$122K lifetime
- 2Oklmntrader13% won of 577$56−$173K lifetime
- 3thecaricature44% won of 717$6−$7.9K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$2+$254K lifetime
- 5Numitus199449% won of 15,786$2−$28K lifetime
No$2.1K on it
- 1Alegrandebig92% won of 1,242$662−$12K lifetime
- 2GTOrski168% won of 31 · balanced$595+$1.0K lifetime
- 3Tenebrus766% won of 1,613 · whale$458+$154K lifetime
- 4yoyobb201878% won of 1,049$138−$1.7K lifetime
- 50xA60FE9ddA6E940Af2422b755fB8AC8E315A270f0-172321423431482% won of 83$103−$399 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?"?
26 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is AiBird, with $123 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Alegrandebig, with $662 on it, $12K lifetime loss over 1,242 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.