Who's betting on “Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 65% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $29K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.4K by 47 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 65% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 7 points.
Who holds it
47 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is AiBird, with $12 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $1.5K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,097 markets (86% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $73
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $4.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$73 on it
- 1AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$12+$122K lifetime
- 2lissartter56% won of 2,997$11−$287K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$10+$28K lifetime
- 4Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$7+$154K lifetime
- 5Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$7+$44K lifetime
No$4.3K on it
- 1elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$1.5K+$2.1M lifetime
- 2Alegrandebig92% won of 1,242$1.4K−$12K lifetime
- 3GollumGekko73% won of 1,183 · whale$830+$290K lifetime
- 4GTOrski168% won of 31 · balanced$188+$1.0K lifetime
- 566668888871% won of 144 · balanced$157+$298 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?"?
47 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is AiBird, with $12 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $1.5K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,097 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.