Who's betting on “Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 52 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 41% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
41% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 53 points.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $10 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 6,321 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is 64MGX75VLQ, with $588 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 267 markets (98% won).
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $41
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 88%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$41 on it
- 1planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$10+$132K lifetime
- 20x0ad5…186917% won of 6$4−$76 lifetime
- 3Foxhound-202663% won of 8$4−$541 lifetime
- 4simulacrum352% won of 250$3−$8.7K lifetime
- 5Magis83% won of 6$2−$1.1K lifetime
No$2.0K on it
- 164MGX75VLQ98% won of 267 · grinder$588+$7.8K lifetime
- 2DeepMoneyValue89% won of 201 · grinder$486+$71 lifetime
- 3Dr.mett93% won of 318 · whale$468+$14K lifetime
- 4hithitfar61% won of 3,626 · balanced$189+$14K lifetime
- 5BillyBoy9474% won of 506 · balanced$156+$3.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
4 more- 1.7m$61K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?$20K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- 1.2m$11K vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money: Yes
- 1.5m$11K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$959K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $10 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 6,321 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is 64MGX75VLQ, with $588 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 267 markets (98% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
41% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 53 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.