Who's betting on “Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 42 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 54 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 57% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
57% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
Who holds it
54 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is AlAhmeda, with $18 on it, $96K lifetime loss over 1,367 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is Dr.mett, with $2.1K on it, $14K lifetime profit over 318 markets (93% won).
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $152
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 93%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$152 on it
No$2.3K on it
- 1Dr.mett93% won of 318 · whale$2.1K+$14K lifetime
- 2big-short74% won of 201 · whale$57+$53K lifetime
- 3S88872% won of 375 · whale$35+$14K lifetime
- 4fi5h62% won of 222 · balanced$35+$2.2K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$29+$254K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in this event
4 more- 1.7m$61K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 2m$17K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- 1.2m$11K vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money: Yes
- 1.5m$11K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.8M vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money split
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.8M vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.0M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?"?
54 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is AlAhmeda, with $18 on it, $96K lifetime loss over 1,367 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is Dr.mett, with $2.1K on it, $14K lifetime profit over 318 markets (93% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.