Who's betting on “Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $124K traded all time
- Held now
- $63K by 178 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 96 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 81 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $124K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 4, 2027.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
178 wallets hold a position worth $63K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 177 of them. The largest Yes holder is Jep-G, with $8.2K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 1,050 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is MrMarket, with $15K on it, $18K lifetime profit over 513 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 97
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 81
- Money on it
- $46K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$17K on it
- 1Jep-G52% won of 1,050 · whale$8.2K+$100K lifetime
- 2mw9742% won of 210 · noise$954+$210 lifetime
- 3cocococococo54% won of 1,420 · whale$780+$107K lifetime
- 40nk0nf0rm0d31% won of 160 · noise$693+$295 lifetime
- 5PeruvianPuffPepper64% won of 95 · balanced$686+$11K lifetime
No$46K on it
- 1MrMarket70% won of 513 · whale$15K+$18K lifetime
- 2Parz1vaI72% won of 1,263 · whale$10K+$802K lifetime
- 3DerDon56% won of 1,234 · whale$9.3K+$95K lifetime
- 4lug55% won of 1,250 · whale$5.1K+$62K lifetime
- 5Moribundus72% won of 130$1.2K−$3.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?"?
178 wallets hold a position worth $63K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 177 of them. The largest Yes holder is Jep-G, with $8.2K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 1,050 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is MrMarket, with $15K on it, $18K lifetime profit over 513 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $124K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 4, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 4, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.