Who's betting on “Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 57 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.7K by 59 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 36% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 4, 2027.
The smart money
36% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 57 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.
Who holds it
59 wallets hold a position worth $9.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xE1a36f6D9F8D14a6237134067aBE3830C87B24EA-1775598809791, with $230 on it, $11K lifetime loss over 146 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is MrMarket, with $5.8K on it, $18K lifetime profit over 513 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $484
- Holders' win rate
- 37%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $9.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$484 on it
- 10xE1a36f6D9F8D14a6237134067aBE3830C87B24EA-177559880979128% won of 146$230−$11K lifetime
- 2RadioCCOD38% won of 208 · noise$69+$9.4K lifetime
- 30xddc193985802B390CFA4AefAb94Fe4051dc976c3-177398904521943% won of 14$36+$42 lifetime
- 4cocococococo54% won of 1,420 · whale$33+$107K lifetime
- 5SpyVsSpy48% won of 243$20−$2.7K lifetime
No$9.2K on it
- 1MrMarket70% won of 513 · whale$5.8K+$18K lifetime
- 2DerDon56% won of 1,234 · whale$2.2K+$95K lifetime
- 3Moribundus72% won of 130$590−$3.4K lifetime
- 4coypu88% won of 292 · grinder$196+$1.3K lifetime
- 5firewalker92385% won of 246 · balanced$171+$521 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $9.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xE1a36f6D9F8D14a6237134067aBE3830C87B24EA-1775598809791, with $230 on it, $11K lifetime loss over 146 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is MrMarket, with $5.8K on it, $18K lifetime profit over 513 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 4, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
36% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 57 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 4, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.