Who's betting on “Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 57 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $44K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.1K by 73 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 40% 43 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
40% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points. A week ago, No by 49 points.
Who holds it
73 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xD9B9de38B5Af0367F350b0f24AD5F48404e903B8-1764226192402, with $1 on it, $1.5K lifetime loss over 193 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $5.2K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $4
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $8.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4 on it
- 10xD9B9de38B5Af0367F350b0f24AD5F48404e903B8-176422619240243% won of 193$1−$1.5K lifetime
- 2youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$1−$6.5K lifetime
- 3Huye16866% won of 1,136 · whale$0+$1.1K lifetime
- 4Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$0+$801K lifetime
- 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$0+$132K lifetime
No$8.1K on it
- 1MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$5.2K+$38K lifetime
- 20x74B4F9447B14b12308963FC048Ae363EB0756bEA-176917082615975% won of 417 · whale$999+$41K lifetime
- 3Warren-Buffett68% won of 1,051 · whale$650+$127K lifetime
- 4JJo67% won of 1,080 · whale$309+$276K lifetime
- 5ourdemocracy83% won of 562 · whale$182+$3.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Trump visit Greenland by...?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?"?
73 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xD9B9de38B5Af0367F350b0f24AD5F48404e903B8-1764226192402, with $1 on it, $1.5K lifetime loss over 193 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $5.2K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
40% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points. A week ago, No by 49 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.