
Who's betting on “Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $82K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 121 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 63 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 58 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $82K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
Who holds it
121 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest Yes holder is AiBird, with $484 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $4.4K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $15 on No.
- Holders
- 63
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
- Snipers
- 1 · $15
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.0K on it
- 1AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$484+$122K lifetime
- 2Woldern360% won of 5$108−$64 lifetime
- 3Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$88+$801K lifetime
- 4NiezlyHarpagan40% won of 30$85−$340 lifetime
- 5goatboss70% won of 43 · balanced$39+$1.0K lifetime
No$13K on it
- 1MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$4.4K+$38K lifetime
- 2Mr-Krabs75% won of 871 · whale$4.3K+$50K lifetime
- 3QuarterlyComeback65% won of 470 · balanced$904+$9.9K lifetime
- 4SusanWarrenHR75% won of 1,119 · whale$693+$95K lifetime
- 5Djibooty53% won of 236 · whale$462+$1.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Trump visit Greenland by...?
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?"?
121 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest Yes holder is AiBird, with $484 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $4.4K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $82K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.