Who's betting on “Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 64% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $91 by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 64% 4 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 51% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 21, 2026. $14K has been traded on it.
The smart money
64% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $91 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them.
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $24
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $67
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Ursula von der Leyen$12K vol. · ClosedYes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $91 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?"?
This market closed on October 21, 2026. $14K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 21, 2026. $14K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.