Who's betting on “Will Trump say "Neurotic" in October?”?
Smart money leans No: 74% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $286 traded all time
- Held now
- $184 by 11 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 5 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 74% 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $286 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
Who holds it
11 wallets hold a position worth $184 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 11 of them. The largest Yes holder is Quarrelsome-Branch, with $19 on it, $111K lifetime profit over 657 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 0xtrador, with $66 on it, $794 lifetime profit over 697 markets (81% won).
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $39
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $145
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$39 on it
- 1Quarrelsome-Branch75% won of 657 · whale$19+$111K lifetime
- 2Numitus199449% won of 15,720$11−$28K lifetime
- 3a553345% won of 284,388$4−$11K lifetime
- 4romanew-7-spread0531% won of 578 · noise$3+$1.9K lifetime
- 5theflamingodancestheflamenco64% won of 166$2+$196 lifetime
No$145 on it
- 10xtrador81% won of 697 · whale$66+$794 lifetime
- 2ruletheworldPM74% won of 324 · balanced$24+$1.4K lifetime
- 3youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$24−$6.5K lifetime
- 4pad652% won of 2,697$14−$1.6K lifetime
- 5arehovbro94% won of 209$9+$23 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Trump say in October?
7 more- Dancing in the Street$269 vol.Yes 27%No 74%Smart money: No
- Weave$191 vol.Yes 23%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- Six Seven$2.7K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Newborn$458 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Caddie$433 vol. · ClosedYes 97%No 3%Smart money split
- Illness$379 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Slob$322 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump say "Neurotic" in October?"?
11 wallets hold a position worth $184 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 11 of them. The largest Yes holder is Quarrelsome-Branch, with $19 on it, $111K lifetime profit over 657 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 0xtrador, with $66 on it, $794 lifetime profit over 697 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump say "Neurotic" in October?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $286 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.