Who's betting on “Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in October?”?
Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $269 traded all time
- Held now
- $119 by 9 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 57% 6 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 3 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $269 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
57% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
Who holds it
9 wallets hold a position worth $119 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 9 of them. The largest Yes holder is Numitus1994, with $14 on it, $28K lifetime loss over 15,720 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is 0xtrador, with $82 on it, $794 lifetime profit over 697 markets (81% won).
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $32
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 3
- Money on it
- $88
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$32 on it
- 1Numitus199449% won of 15,720$14−$28K lifetime
- 2idl60% won of 285 · balanced$8+$3.9K lifetime
- 3smellyEllie50% won of 1,984 · whale$8+$106K lifetime
- 4Projectps548% won of 200$2+$108 lifetime
- 5PPMT70% won of 56,626 · whale$0+$16K lifetime
No$88 on it
- 10xtrador81% won of 697 · whale$82+$794 lifetime
- 2EkoCam61% won of 2,734$5−$2.5K lifetime
- 3Nicksha07785% won of 20$1−$23 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Trump say in October?
7 more- Neurotic$286 vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: No
- Weave$191 vol.Yes 23%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- Six Seven$2.7K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Newborn$458 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Caddie$433 vol. · ClosedYes 97%No 3%Smart money split
- Illness$379 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Slob$322 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in October?"?
9 wallets hold a position worth $119 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 9 of them. The largest Yes holder is Numitus1994, with $14 on it, $28K lifetime loss over 15,720 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is 0xtrador, with $82 on it, $794 lifetime profit over 697 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in October?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $269 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.