Who's betting on “Will Trump say "Discord" in October?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $284 traded all time
- Held now
- $284 by 10 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 5 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 5 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $284 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 10 points.
Who holds it
10 wallets hold a position worth $284 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 10 of them. The largest Yes holder is lakemichigan, with $52 on it, $22K lifetime profit over 220 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is 0xtrador, with $148 on it, $794 lifetime profit over 697 markets (81% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $52 on Yes.
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $74
- Holders' win rate
- 83%
- Snipers
- 1 · $52
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $210
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$74 on it
- 1lakemichigan97% won of 220 · sniper$52+$22K lifetime
- 2flexer7836% won of 4,319 · noise$9+$805 lifetime
- 3Numitus199449% won of 15,720$7−$28K lifetime
- 4ogi25059% won of 1,036 · balanced$5+$969 lifetime
- 5StormRazer80% won of 421 · balanced$1+$389 lifetime
No$210 on it
- 10xtrador81% won of 697 · whale$148+$794 lifetime
- 2KingZeManel98% won of 879$25−$5.4K lifetime
- 30x61824002685454-83610084637196% won of 726 · balanced$19+$17K lifetime
- 4t4lk1370% won of 477 · balanced$18+$222 lifetime
- 5hgr195% won of 1,129 · grinder$0+$278 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What companies will Trump mention in October?
9 more- Visa$1.4K vol.Yes 25%No 75%Smart money: No
- Caterpillar$616 vol.Yes 36%No 64%Smart money: Yes
- Airbus$583 vol.Yes 36%No 64%Smart money: Yes
- Qualcomm$252 vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- Oracle$185 vol.Yes 37%No 63%Smart money: Yes
- Ferrari$90 vol.Yes 35%No 65%Smart money split
- Hyperliquid$70 vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: No
- TikTok / ByteDance$497 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Boeing$355 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump say "Discord" in October?"?
10 wallets hold a position worth $284 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 10 of them. The largest Yes holder is lakemichigan, with $52 on it, $22K lifetime profit over 220 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is 0xtrador, with $148 on it, $794 lifetime profit over 697 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump say "Discord" in October?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $284 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.