Who's betting on “Will Trump say "Caterpillar" in October?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 82 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $616 traded all time
- Held now
- $335 by 9 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 100% 3 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 18% 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 64¢, a 64% implied chance of No. $616 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
100% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 82 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 82 points. A week ago, Yes by 82 points.
Who holds it
9 wallets hold a position worth $335 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 9 of them. The largest Yes holder is Quarrelsome-Branch, with $115 on it, $111K lifetime profit over 657 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is hfv, with $114 on it, $142K lifetime loss over 44,721 markets (42% won).
- Holders
- 3
- Money on it
- $121
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $214
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$121 on it
- 1Quarrelsome-Branch75% won of 657 · whale$115+$111K lifetime
- 2ruletheworldPM74% won of 324 · balanced$3+$1.4K lifetime
- 3nelder43% won of 232 · noise$3+$1.7K lifetime
No$214 on it
- 1hfv42% won of 44,721$114−$142K lifetime
- 2idl61% won of 284 · balanced$39+$3.9K lifetime
- 3pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$38−$320K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,344$19−$217K lifetime
- 5EkoCam61% won of 2,734$4−$2.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What companies will Trump mention in October?
9 more- Visa$1.4K vol.Yes 25%No 75%Smart money: No
- Airbus$583 vol.Yes 36%No 64%Smart money: Yes
- Discord$284 vol.Yes 26%No 74%Smart money split
- Qualcomm$252 vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- Oracle$185 vol.Yes 37%No 63%Smart money: Yes
- Ferrari$90 vol.Yes 35%No 65%Smart money split
- Hyperliquid$70 vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: No
- TikTok / ByteDance$497 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Boeing$355 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump say "Caterpillar" in October?"?
9 wallets hold a position worth $335 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 9 of them. The largest Yes holder is Quarrelsome-Branch, with $115 on it, $111K lifetime profit over 657 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is hfv, with $114 on it, $142K lifetime loss over 44,721 markets (42% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump say "Caterpillar" in October?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 64¢, a 64% implied chance of No. $616 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
100% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 82 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 82 points. A week ago, Yes by 82 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.