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Who's betting on “Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?”?

Politics$43K traded49 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
56%Yes
44%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$43K
traded all time
Held now
$3.6K
by 49 wallets
Smart share · Yes
81%
26 scored holders
Smart share · No
79%
23 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 44¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

81% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

Who holds it

49 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $997 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is Hot-SkullHomelessBegger, with $331 on it, $16K lifetime profit over 71 markets (75% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $598 on Yes.

Yes56%
Smart money share81%
7 days ago 80%a day ago 82%now 81%
Holders
26
Money on it
$2.7K
Holders' win rate
55%
Snipers
1 · $598
No44%
Smart money share79%
7 days ago 84%a day ago 78%now 79%
Holders
23
Money on it
$962
Holders' win rate
55%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$2.7K on it

  1. 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$997+$203K lifetime
  2. 2FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$598+$244K lifetime
  3. 3sunnynotbunny60% won of 468$335−$28K lifetime
  4. 4PolyArbi42% won of 292 · noise$222+$92 lifetime
  5. 50xE2B44168f9C361a06a64ED3Fe0E858634E883c5A-176471005611048% won of 343 · balanced$85+$8.3K lifetime

No$962 on it

  1. 1Hot-SkullHomelessBegger75% won of 71 · balanced$331+$16K lifetime
  2. 2donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$330+$829K lifetime
  3. 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$87−$8.2K lifetime
  4. 4buyaoshangtou175% won of 207 · balanced$70+$727 lifetime
  5. 5cigarettes46% won of 49,197$25−$49K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?"?

49 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $997 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is Hot-SkullHomelessBegger, with $331 on it, $16K lifetime profit over 71 markets (75% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 44¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

81% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.