Who's betting on “Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 74% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 74% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 42¢ and No at 58¢, a 58% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
74% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $635 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is cosmicsteaks, with $536 on it, $8.2K lifetime profit over 4,326 markets (47% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $635 on Yes.
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 1 · $635
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.8K on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$635+$244K lifetime
- 2sunnynotbunny60% won of 468$249−$28K lifetime
- 3PolyArbi42% won of 292 · noise$165+$92 lifetime
- 4Hot-SkullHomelessBegger75% won of 71 · balanced$146+$16K lifetime
- 5EsperanzasDESTROYER75% won of 204 · balanced$119+$38K lifetime
No$1.0K on it
- 1cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,326 · whale$536+$8.2K lifetime
- 2pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$113−$320K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$88+$255K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$69−$217K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$41+$27K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $635 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is cosmicsteaks, with $536 on it, $8.2K lifetime profit over 4,326 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 42¢ and No at 58¢, a 58% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
74% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.