Who's betting on “Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $685 by 56 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 25% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
Who holds it
56 wallets hold a position worth $685 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $112 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,235 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $46 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,094 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $565
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $120
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$565 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$112+$255K lifetime
- 2whig59% won of 1,153 · whale$82+$312K lifetime
- 3ogi25059% won of 1,036 · balanced$54+$969 lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$51+$203K lifetime
- 5haouibao98% won of 90$50−$196 lifetime
No$120 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,094$46−$48K lifetime
- 2ShewasonlyonTRT61% won of 391 · balanced$18+$19K lifetime
- 30xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-178200852819057% won of 2,344$15−$3.4K lifetime
- 4whysoseri8us52% won of 494$8−$454 lifetime
- 5Mojito981% won of 1,763 · whale$7+$17K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?"?
56 wallets hold a position worth $685 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $112 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,235 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $46 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,094 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.